Ideal Presidential Candidate Will Campaign On Two Main Issues

"A system of pure, unregulated laissez-faire capitalism has never existed anywhere."  Ayn Rand writing in Capitalism: The Unknown Ideal

 

click on graph to enlarge

 

From 1968 through 1988 the GOP (Republicans) won the popular vote in five of six presidential elections – the predominate thought being that no matter how lopsided the House & Senate makeup favoring Democrats was during this time period the country preferred a strong leader in the White House epitomized by President Reagan.

 

Since 1992 the GOP has lost the popular vote in five of six presidential elections & the trend has all the earmarks to continue in 2016.

 

Look back into history to the 1790s when the Federalist Party seemed invincible – with Presidents George Washington & John Adams presiding over our first 12 years as a Republic – except the Federalist Party didn't last twenty five years.

 

By 1798 the Federalists had split into two wings – the Adams wing & the Hamilton wing & this split allowed their common opponent to win the presidency in the election of 1800 which marked the beginning of the end for the Federalists.

 

The Adams-Hamilton split of two centuries ago is very similar to the GOP split today regarding the establishment wing & the Tea Party – couple this split with the GOP running the most flawed presidential candidate imaginable in 2012 explains how BO could so easily win reelection in a country that had slide to the apathy to dependence stage of the Death Of Democracy. 

 

Adams-Hamilton precluded a fourth Washington term much like George H W Bush brought out Perot & Buchanan to prevent a fourth Reagan term.

 

There are many signs the GOP could be going the way of the Federalists.

 

First, many U.S. born children of illegal immigrants will be eligible to vote for the first time in 2016 – this will certainly not favor the GOP who won only 27% of the Hispanic vote in the 2012 presidential election.  Groups like United We Stand which represents undocumented immigrants plan an all out fight to help the Democrat nominee.

 

Second, demographics continue to overtake the GOP – this time millenials will equal baby boomers as a share of eligible voters for the first time ever in 2016.  Not only are the millenials a generation of people who were born after Reagan left office but a recent post on RTE showed that college students could not identify Reagan upon being shown a famous photograph of the 40th president.  These are people who will cancel out your vote.

 

This means there are an equal number of eligible voters who worked & experienced the prosperity of the 80s & 90s balanced out with young people saddled with thousands of dollars of student loan debt who are prone to favor the Democrat line of tapping the public treasury with one program or another while enjoying plenty of leisure time off.

 

Third, over the past 25 years Republicans have counted on low turn outs in winning many local or state elections – turn out in 2016 should be 50% higher than that of an off year election. 

 

For instance Governor Scott Walker won the governorship of Wisconsin three times in four years in what has become a Democrat stronghold (Ryan could not win his own home state as the GOP VP candidate in 2012).  All of Walker's victories were in non-presidential elections when the turn out was low – 54.5% in 2014 when Walker last won versus 73.2% in 2012 when Ryan could not help carry his home state.

 

Couple all of these trends & facts with the baked in electoral college advantage Democrats have (209 electoral votes that can be taken for granted regardless of who the Democrat candidate is) & the GOP has a very narrow path, if any, to the presidency.

 

In less than a week, on Thursday August 6, the first of eleven Republican primary debates moves the presidential race to the next level where the candidates confront each other on FNC – 1 hour debate @ 5 PM ET for the lower tier candidates & 9 PM to 11 PM ET for upper tier candidates (the top ten candidates based on an average of five national polls).  The upper tier debate is a ninety minute debate meaning that FNC is selling thirty minutes of air time for commercials – FNC is a capitalistic network that loves high ratings.

 

With seventeen GOP primary candidates the process of finding the GOP presidential nominee promises to be a long one.  The Democrat nominee looks to be a woman (54% of the electorate in 2012 were women – another plus for Democrats even if Carly becomes the GOP nominee) or a socialist (about half the country is fine with socialism with most millenials never having been taught anything about capitalism).

 

The 2012 presidential election was not about the Arab world, the budget deficit or national debt, the creation of jobs, China's military build up, Venezuela, the price of gasoline, or even Dubya.  It was about how people dependent on government will survive today & next week – so many intellectuals miss this Death Of Democracy point which will henceforth be the central point of every presidential election until America either reverses the welfare state path we are following or succumbs to the the final stage democracies deteriorate to - dependence back into bondage.

 

Of course America lost the 2012 election & afterward BO's purposeful destruction ratcheted up with attacks on 1) people of religious faith (called out for discrimination against homosexuals with fines totaling $135,000 in one case), 2) policemen trying to do their jobs (not one high profile case presented to date where someone died who followed a policeman's instruction – which is something most of us were taught to do when we were about six years old), & 3) businesses (mandated higher minimum wage laws & government regulations on paid sick leave plus paid leave to both parents of new children & employees caring for sick family members – all of which are deterrents, as BO intends, to business hiring).

 

We know that the welfare issue will be front & center in 2016 to once again try to carry the day for Democrats but has anything changed this time to call on human dignity & the basic sense of right & wrong to overcome the welfare issue.  Such as - will the Iran nuclear deal against Israel infuriate enough Jewish people to vote Republican instead of the usual 70+% for Democrat;  will the high ObamaCare premium increases for 2016 be enough to turn off people who realize they are not getting something for nothing with subsidized healthcare insurance; will Planned Parenthood's barbaric taking of organs from fetuses & selling them to the highest bidder turn enough stomachs for some to abandon the Democrat Party; &, will the list of senseless murders by illegal aliens roaming free in sanctuary cities be enough to have Hispanics realize that BO's & the DOJ's selective enforcement of laws will one day turn on them also. 

 

I distinguish the above issues from ones that have never moved the needle to change voting patterns – like the chronically high Black teenage unemployment rate.  Blacks vote Democrat no matter what & depression era Black teenage unemployment rates like June's 31.8% are just one example.  So issues like Hillary using her private e-mail server while Secretary of State, the IRS's targeted investigations of conservative groups, the Benghazi murders, or foreign country contributions to the Clinton Foundation will most likely again be of no electoral consequence to voters who are looking for the candidate that will best continue their government dependent benefits & incomes following the 126 government welfare & poverty programs identified by the Cato Institute – see graph above.  Click on Why Income Inequality Has Not Increased In America to see there has been no increased income inequality in America from 1987 to 2012 when measured by real spending per person by income quintile – the best measure of a person's well being.  This is just the way government dependent people intend to keep it.

 

For anyone other than a Democrat to win the presidency in 2016 will take a herculean effort – but we see above a few possible hints of light because BO may have pushed the envelope too far too quickly with the Iran deal & the others listed.  Couple changes in voting because of these issues with reaching out & changing the minds of just a few percent of Mitt Romney's "47% of the people (who) will vote for BO (in Mitt's case) no matter what...these people are dependent on government, believe they are victims entitled to government handouts, & pay no income tax."  Mitt identified the problem precisely but failed to try to reach these people – inexcusable.  Had Mitt received 10% of the Florida Black vote instead of 4% he would have won Florida & a swing of 58 electoral votes.

 

Whether looking for government handouts or gainful employment the economy is the biggest issue for most people.  The ideal presidential candidate that will start to emerge from the August 6 debates is one who will campaign on two main issues – 1) clearly explaining that BO's fundamental transformation of America has been & continues to be a deliberately led onslaught of one issue after another that is destroying America's place in the world & accordingly all of our standards of living – like the median drop in annual household income the past several years & the fact that small & medium sized businesses are dying faster than they're being born – each candidate can pick their own issues – they're all there on RTE, & 2) a system of pure, unregulated laissez-faire capitalism that will undo all the harm BO has purposely done to America.  Point #2 is a tall order since Ayn Rand tells us this has never been done before.

 

Reference post: Free Stuff Or Freedom - You Can't Have Them Both